Key Takeaway: U.S. equities advanced Monday, with the Nasdaq closing at an all-time high and the S&P 500 gaining 0.21%, as weaker jobs data reinforced expectations for faster Federal Reserve rate cuts this year.
Market Overview
The S&P 500 (.SPX) rose 0.21%, while the Nasdaq Composite reached a fresh record close. The Dow Jones Industrial Average also edged higher. Treasury yields extended Friday’s rally, reflecting growing conviction that the Fed will cut rates next week.
Traders are pricing a roughly two-thirds probability that the Fed reduces rates by 75 basis points by year-end, delivered in three quarter-point cuts across its remaining 2025 meetings. A smaller group — about 7% of traders — expect a full 100-basis-point reduction, implying at least one larger cut.
Economic Calendar
Markets are now focused on key U.S. data releases this week:
Tuesday: Labor Department’s preliminary revisions to jobs data
Wednesday: August Producer Price Index (PPI)
Thursday: August Consumer Price Index (CPI), projected to rise 0.3% for the second month
Corporate Movers
Verizon (VZ.US): Shares fell, dragging the Dow lower.
AT&T (T.US) and T-Mobile US (TMUS.US): Both declined after EchoStar (SATS.US) sold wireless spectrum to SpaceX in a US$17 billion deal.
Commodities and Currencies
Oil: Prices rallied before paring gains, supported by the prospect of more sanctions on Russian oil despite OPEC+ plans to lift output next month.
Japanese Yen: Weakened, providing support for Japanese equities. Political uncertainty grew after Japan’s prime minister announced his resignation.
Bonds: Global yields eased, with expectations of Fed easing outweighing regional debt concerns. French bond yields fell even as Prime Minister Francois Bayrou faced a confidence vote.
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