Modest Earnings Uptick Expected
Top Glove Corp Bhd (KL:TOPGLOV), the world’s largest rubber glove maker, is likely to post only slight quarter-on-quarter earnings improvement in its fiscal 4QFY2025, according to Phillip Capital.
Projected net profit: RM22–23 million, versus RM21.5 million in 3QFY2025.
This would mark a turnaround from the net loss of RM50.5 million in 4QFY2024.
The improvement is underpinned by higher utilisation rates, with the company running at 74% capacity on stronger US orders.
Headwinds: Prices and Currency Pressure
Despite better volume, Phillip Capital warned that:
Softer average selling prices (ASPs) and
- A stronger ringgit against the US dollarwill weigh on margins.
The research house has cut its target price by 12 sen to 59 sen, citing persistent structural challenges that cap earnings recovery.
Competitive Pressures Intensify
Global oversupply continues to plague the glove sector, with:
Chinese rivals ramping up production in Southeast Asia to avoid US tariffs.
Aggressive discounting in non-US markets squeezing Top Glove’s pricing power.
Still, the company has signaled it will avoid further price cuts, banking on resilient demand in the US to support earnings.
Longer-Term Outlook
Phillip Capital expects meaningful recovery only in FY2026–FY2027, as utilisation rates gradually rise and the industry digests excess supply.
Investor takeaway: While Top Glove’s near-term earnings may stabilise, its valuation remains constrained by oversupply, currency pressure, and intense Chinese competition. Any sustained recovery looks to be a medium-term story rather than an immediate catalyst.
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