Switzerland will hold a national ballot on Sept 28 to decide whether to abolish its long-standing property tax, worth about CHF1.7 billion (US$2.1 billion) annually.
Market Snapshot
What’s at stake: Ending the tax on imputed rental value — the “theoretical rent” homeowners could earn from their property.
Winners: Homeowners could see tax burdens cut by up to 22%.
Losers: Renters (60% of the population) won’t benefit, while the cost hits government budgets.
Housing impact: Raiffeisen estimates property price growth could accelerate to 5–7% over the next year.
Why It Matters
Homeownership in Switzerland: Only 40% own homes, the lowest in Europe vs 70% in the EU.
Perceptions of fairness: Many see the current “imputed rent” tax as unfair, even among non-homeowners.
Bubble risk: UBS already flags a “moderate bubble” in Swiss housing, while the central bank warns of market vulnerabilities.
Debt & Tax Trade-Offs
Abolishing the tax also ends deductions for mortgage interest and home improvements.
Cantons may impose their own levy on second homes to offset revenue losses.
Supporters argue the change could reduce high household debt (125% of GDP, the highest in Europe).
Public Opinion
Homeowners: 66% support the proposal.
Renters: Mostly opposed.
Overall polls: Split nearly 50-50, with a slight edge toward approval.
The Debate
Opponents: Say renters and the broader public will foot the bill through higher sales taxes or paycheck deductions.
Supporters: Call it a “ghost tax” on income that doesn’t exist, arguing for fairness and simplicity.
Key Takeaway
The vote pits perceptions of fairness against fiscal realities. A win for homeowners could fuel housing demand and prices, while raising questions about how governments will replace lost revenue.
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