Consensus Estimates
Revenue: $10.71B expected (vs. $12.61B a year ago)
EPS: $0.12 expected (vs. $0.99 a year ago)
Nike has a history of beating EPS estimates in 7 straight quarters, but stock reactions have been negative — it has traded lower after 8 of its last 9 earnings reports.
Expert Views
Jay Woods (Freedom Capital):
Stock is down 66% from 2021 highs.
“Things aren’t looking good” — inventories and tariff risks weigh.
Suggests waiting for a breakdown near $52 before buying.
Tom Nikic (Needham):
Maintains Buy, cuts PT to $66 (from $75).
Says Street’s FY26 expectations are too high given tariff pressures.
Notes turnaround will take time despite leadership changes.
Lorraine Hutchinson (BofA Securities):
Maintains Buy, PT $80.
Believes Q4 could mark peak pressure on sales/margins.
Highlights strong Spring ’26 innovation pipeline and opportunities in wholesale.
Other Analyst PTs:
Truist: Buy, PT cut to $73 (from $82)
Evercore ISI: Outperform, PT $75 (from $97)
Deutsche Bank: Buy, PT $71 (from $77)
Barclays: Equal-Weight, PT $53 (from $60)
Key Watchpoints for Investors
Regional Trends:
North America (last quarter: -4% YoY)
Greater China (last quarter: -17% YoY, weakest region)
Growth Plans & Partnerships:
Entry back to Amazon after 6 years — could expand e-commerce reach.
SKIMS collaboration (with Kim Kardashian) delayed — potential update expected.
Tariff Impact:
Analysts see tariffs as a drag on margins and a major risk for FY26.
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