Nvidia Leads Year-to-Date, Tesla Surges in September
Nvidia ($NVDA) remains the top performer among the Magnificent 7 this year, while Tesla ($TSLA) delivered a remarkable 32% rally in September. With both stocks facing pivotal catalysts in the coming months, investors are weighing which name offers the stronger case into year-end.
Nvidia: AI and Data Center Momentum
Key Catalysts Ahead
Oct 6: OpenAI DevDay – Potential updates on model launches and inference costs could directly impact Nvidia’s AI ecosystem.
Oct 13: Oracle AI World – Focus on second-tier cloud and AI infrastructure partnerships.
Oct 16: TSMC Q3 Earnings – Market attention on CoWoS packaging capacity and N2 process ramp.
Oct 28: Nvidia GTC Keynote (DC20) – CEO Jensen Huang expected to update on GPU platforms, networking and public sector demand.
Nov 19: Q3 FY26 Earnings – Focus on data center revenue, GB200 shipments, and gross margins.
Tesla: Deliveries, FSD and Energy Growth
Key Catalysts Ahead
Oct 2: Q3 Delivery Report – Expected to show the impact of pricing strategies and regional mix. Analysts remain divided, creating potential volatility.
Mid-October: FSD v14 Rollout – Phased launch of the next-generation autonomous driving system, with implications for subscription revenue and regulatory scrutiny.
Late October: Q3 Earnings – Market focus on automotive gross margins, energy segment profitability, and Shanghai Megapack contributions.
Nov 6: Annual Shareholder Meeting – Updates on long-term strategy, including Robotaxi and humanoid robots.
Bottom Line
Nvidia offers stronger momentum, clearer earnings visibility, and relatively cheap options pricing, making it attractive for growth and volatility-based strategies.
Tesla, while supported by a strong September rebound and near-term catalysts, carries higher uncertainty tied to deliveries, margins, and FSD adoption.
For the rest of 2025, Nvidia appears better positioned for investors seeking stability in AI-driven growth, while Tesla remains a higher-risk, higher-reward play dependent on execution in Q3 and beyond.
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