Global Rally Sets the Tone
Asian equities looked set to extend a worldwide rally on Friday after US inflation data and a cooling labor market reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next week.
Futures for Japan, Australia, and Hong Kong all pointed higher following record closes for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 overnight. A global stocks gauge also notched a fresh high. US equity contracts were flat in early Asia trade.
“Inflation is relatively calm, which gives the Fed the flexibility to focus more on stemming ongoing weakness in the labor market,” said Skyler Weinand of Regan Capital, who expects a 25bps cut next week, with two more by year-end.
Treasuries rallied, with 10-year yields slipping two basis points. The dollar softened, while gold briefly hit an inflation-adjusted record high before retreating.
“The labor market is still the main story,” said Ellen Zentner of Morgan Stanley Wealth Management. “Today’s CPI wasn’t hot enough to distract the Fed from the softening jobs picture.”
PIMCO’s Tiffany Wilding added: “We still expect 25bps next week, though 50 will likely be discussed. We continue to look for 75bps of total cuts this year.”
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