Stable Outlook Backed by Strong Capital Buffers
RAM Ratings has reaffirmed its stable outlook on Malaysia’s insurance and takaful industry, citing robust capital positions that provide resilience against market volatility. While persistent medical cost inflation and competitive pricing pressures weigh on earnings, the sector’s solid buffers are expected to help players withstand external uncertainties.
“Growth in life/family takaful and non-life segments will likely slow in 2025 amid affordability concerns and lingering cost-of-living pressures. Still, capital buffers are sufficient to absorb potential shocks,” said Sophia Lee, Senior Vice President of Financial Institution Ratings at RAM.
Longer-term fundamentals are expected to strengthen as Bank Negara Malaysia’s risk-based capital reforms, slated for 2027 or later, enhance system resilience. Several insurers have already begun managing capital needs ahead of the reforms.
Non-life premium growth is also set to moderate to around 5% in 2025 (1H 2025: +5.9%; 2024: +7.3%). General takaful expansion slowed to 8% in 2024 and 10% in 1H 2025, from 17% in 2023. Still, near-term growth may benefit from Bank Negara’s draft policy expanding ta`awun (mutual assistance), enabling more inclusive product innovation and surplus distribution to underserved groups.
The regulator’s interim rules requiring staggered repricing of medical and health insurance/takaful (MHIT) could further squeeze earnings, though RAM believes most players can manage the impact.
In the non-life segment, claims and combined ratios remained stable at 58% and 94%, respectively, in 1H 2025 (2024: 59% and 95%). Sustained pricing discipline will be critical to preserving margins as competition intensifies.
Meanwhile, ongoing reforms to curb medical inflation — including a base MHIT product and a diagnosis-related group (DRG) payment model — aim to improve affordability and sustainability of coverage. However, risks of policy lapses and surrenders remain given household affordability constraints.
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