The SGD is under pressure — and August could bring more headwinds.
As the US ramps up tariff threats on pharma and semiconductors — two of Singapore’s top exports — and with speculation mounting that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) could ease its currency policy this month, the SGD may face further downside.
Key Takeaways:
SGD may slide to S$1.30 vs. USD in the near term
Trump’s new tariffs (possibly by Aug 1) could weigh heavily on SG exports
June core inflation data (out July 23) expected at only +0.7%, reinforcing easing case
MAS may flatten the S$NEER slope by 50bps to 0%, capping SGD strength
With S$NEER near the top of the band, flattening = weaker SGD vs trading partners
Experts Say:
“The tariff uncertainty could add to growth headwinds for Singapore in H2.”— Moh Siong Sim, Bank of Singapore
“We expect MAS to ease policy this month... the bias is for further SGD weakness.”— Priyanka Kishore, Asia Decoded
What to Watch:
July 23: SG inflation data
MAS policy meeting later this month
Trump’s Aug 1 tariff deadline
Comments
Post a Comment