President Donald Trump announced a 25% tariff on India’s exports to the U.S. starting Aug. 1, escalating trade tensions and warning of further penalties over New Delhi’s energy and military ties with Russia.
Key Points:
Trump called India’s tariffs “among the highest in the world” and criticised its non-monetary trade barriers.
He also targeted India’s heavy reliance on Russian oil and weapons, saying the country is “Russia’s largest buyer of energy along with China.”
Trump hinted at an additional penalty tied to India’s purchases from Moscow.
Market Reaction:
Indian rupee dropped 0.8% to 87.87 per dollar in offshore trading, hitting a five-month low.
Nifty 50 futures erased gains and fell as much as 0.5%.
Trade Talks in Limbo:
India had been negotiating a trade deal with the U.S. after Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s February White House visit.
Talks stalled in recent weeks over agriculture and tariff issues, with New Delhi toughening its stance.
An Indian official said discussions are ongoing to reach a “mutually beneficial” agreement despite the tariff announcement.
Strategic Implications:
The tariff puts India at a competitive disadvantage, with higher duties than Vietnam (20%), Indonesia (19%), and Japan (15%).
Analysts warn the move could strain U.S.-India relations and undermine efforts to position India as a counterweight to China.
Russia Factor:
Summary: The 25% tariff marks a sharp turn in U.S.-India trade ties, raising economic and geopolitical stakes. With additional penalties threatened, the focus now shifts to whether ongoing talks can ease tensions before the new duties take effect.
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