The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has upgraded Malaysia’s economic outlook, projecting 4.5% GDP growth in 2025, up 0.4 percentage points from its April estimate. For 2026, growth is now forecast at 4.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, according to its latest World Economic Outlook report.
Bank Negara Malaysia recently revised its 2025 forecast to 4.0%–4.8%, citing global economic uncertainties and potential tariff impacts. The central bank noted that Malaysia’s growth trajectory remains highly dependent on external conditions.
Globally, the IMF now expects 3.0% growth in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026, supported by better financial conditions, front-loaded demand ahead of tariffs, and fiscal expansion in major economies.
While the IMF anticipates global inflation to decline, it warned that U.S. inflation is likely to stay above target. It also highlighted ongoing risks from tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and uncertainty, stressing that restoring confidence and stability remains a critical policy priority.
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