Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) forecasts the economy to expand between 4.0% and 4.8% in 2025, driven by resilient domestic demand, a healthy labour market, and stronger investment activity despite global trade and geopolitical uncertainties.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Domestic demand remains the primary engine, supported by steady employment and policy measures bolstering private consumption.
Investment momentum is expected to accelerate with multi-year infrastructure projects and the rollout of approved investments aligned with national development plans.
External upside may come from successful trade negotiations, robust E&E exports, and a rebound in tourism.
BNM Governor Dato’ Sri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour highlighted that Malaysia is navigating global uncertainties from a position of strength, attributing resilience to ongoing structural reforms and moderate inflation.
Inflation Outlook:
Headline inflation for 2025 is projected at 1.5% to 2.3%, reflecting a more moderate cost environment.
BNM expects limited impact from commodity price volatility and manageable domestic cost conditions.
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