Japanese banks are off to a strong start this fiscal year, with Mizuho Financial Group Inc raising its annual profit forecast to a record ¥1.02 trillion (US$6.9B) after posting better-than-expected first-quarter results.
Key Highlights:
Mizuho: Net income rose 0.4% YoY to ¥290.5B in Q1; full-year profit forecast lifted from ¥940B to ¥1.02T.
Sumitomo Mitsui: Q1 profit hit ¥376.9B, reaching 29% of its full-year goal of ¥1.3T.
Both banks beat analyst estimates and saw gains in net interest income as lending margins improved.
Drivers:
Higher Interest Rates: Japanese lenders are benefiting from improved margins after the Bank of Japan ended its ultra-easy monetary policy last year.
Trade Deal Optimism: A recent US-Japan tariff agreement and a resurgent stock market added momentum to bank shares. Mizuho stock is up 16% YTD; Sumitomo Mitsui gained 2.4%.
Lower Risks: Mizuho expects smaller bad-loan costs and gains from selling stakes in client companies.
Outlook:
It’s rare for a Japanese bank to raise profit guidance so early in the year, signaling confidence in continued lending growth and stable credit conditions.
Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group, Japan’s largest bank, is set to report earnings Monday, which could further confirm the sector’s strong trend.
Bottom Line: Japan’s megabanks are leveraging rising rates and a more stable trade environment to deliver record earnings, with Mizuho leading the charge and signaling more upside ahead.
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