Rolls-Royce (UK:RR) extended its remarkable rally on Thursday, raising its underlying operating profit guidance to a midpoint of £3.15B (from £2.8B) and upgrading free cash flow expectations. Shares of the British engine maker surged 9% to a fresh all-time high, with its five-year return now averaging 64% annually, second only to Nvidia’s (NVDA.US) 76% among major global names.
Key Drivers:
Civil Aviation: “Strong” large engine aftermarket demand continues to power recovery in aviation.
Power Systems: Boosted by data center expansion and government contracts.
Military Demand: Stable defense business providing earnings resilience.
Analyst Expectations:
Street consensus had forecast £2.87B underlying operating profit.
Free cash flow is now expected to exceed prior guidance.
Market Context:
Rolls-Royce has been one of the UK market’s standout performers, benefiting from post-pandemic aviation recovery and growth in mission-critical power systems.
The company’s consistent upgrades mirror Nvidia’s AI-fueled rise, prompting some analysts to dub it “Britain’s answer to Nvidia” due to its outsized returns and strong fundamentals.
Takeaway:
Rolls-Royce’s upgraded outlook underscores its successful turnaround and positioning in high-demand sectors like aviation, defense, and power infrastructure. The continued momentum places the stock firmly among Europe’s top industrial plays of 2025.
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