Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688039) shares have soared 34% in the past month, bringing the stock’s annual gain to an impressive 96%.
Valuation in Focus:
The company’s price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 16.4x, more than double the median of China’s software industry (~7.7x).
Such a high valuation raises questions, especially as revenue fell 14% last year and is down 31% over the past three years.
Why Investors Are Paying Up:
Despite recent revenue declines, analysts expect a sharp turnaround, forecasting 62% revenue growth over the next year, compared to the industry’s projected 24%. This anticipated rebound appears to justify the premium P/S multiple.
Investor Sentiment:
The recent rally suggests investors are betting on a revenue recovery and are willing to hold despite the company’s historical declines. With expectations running high, any miss in growth could put pressure on the stock.
Summary: Hangzhou Arcvideo’s surge reflects confidence in a strong revenue rebound, but its lofty valuation means the company will need to deliver on growth forecasts to sustain momentum.
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