Hong Kong dollar bond sales surged to an all-time high of HK$1.28 trillion (US$163B) in Q2 2025 — up 20% QoQ— as short-term borrowing costs fell sharply following central bank intervention.
What Drove the Spike?
HKMA intervention in May to weaken a strong HKD injected liquidity into the market, pushing 1-month HIBOR as low as 0.5% (vs. ~4% in April).
Borrowers seized this rare low-cost funding window, driving both corporate loans and bond issuance to multi-year highs.
Key Data Points
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Q2 Bond Sales | HK$1.28T (record since 1988) |
| Corporate Loans (YTD) | HK$237.8B (+13% YoY) |
| Notable Issuances | HK Gov’t, Alibaba's HK$12B exchangeable bond |
Expert Views
- Raymond Yeung (ANZ):“It’s a rare opportunity. Low HKD funding can support the local economy, but China’s recovery remains essential.”
- Terrence Pang (Fidelity):“Expect strong future issuance from HK government and agencies, especially for infrastructure funding. Global issuers will also continue tapping HKD markets.”
Macro Backdrop
HKMA Policy: Pegged to USD; follows US Fed direction
Current Rate Strategy: HKMA has held rates steady despite earlier easing expectations
Key Risk: Outlook clouded by U.S. tariffs, potential impact on global inflation and Fed policy
Investment Takeaway
Risks to Watch:
Reversal in HKMA liquidity strategy
Delayed China recovery
Uncertainty over U.S. trade and Fed rate trajectory
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