As Intel Corp. (INTC) gears up to report earnings Thursday, all eyes are on CEO Lip-Bu Tan. Investors aren’t just looking for numbers—they want a credible roadmap to profitability and growth. And patience is running thin.
A Promising Start, but Momentum Stalls
Since Tan took the reins in March, Intel’s shares are up 19%, a modest recovery compared to Nvidia’s 50% surge and AMD’s 64% jump over the same period. Optimism around Tan’s appointment has given way to skepticism.
“There’s still a great opportunity in Intel, but we’ve cut our position,” said Joe Tigay, fund manager at Rational Equity Armor Fund.
What Wall Street Expects
Intel is forecast to post a Q2 loss of 31 cents per share on $11.9 billion in revenue, down 7% year-over-year, according to Bloomberg data. The company isn’t expected to turn a profit or see growth until mid-2026.
Cutting Costs Isn’t Enough
Tan has pledged to slash operating costs and cut capital spending by $2 billion in 2025. About 4,000 jobs have been trimmed—just 4% of the workforce. But analysts say that’s not enough.
“It takes more than cost-cutting. Revenue needs to grow,” warned KC Rajkumar, analyst at Lynx Equity Strategy.
AI and Factory Deals Hold the Key
Intel must carve out a place in the AI infrastructure boom — an area where Nvidia dominates. Investors also want clarity on whether large customers are committing to Intel’s factories, and whether in-house chip designs can reclaim market share.
Analyst Sentiment Paints a Gloomy Picture
Out of 52 analysts tracked by Bloomberg:
Only 4 rate Intel a Buy
42 say Hold
6 recommend Sell
The 12-month price target? Just $21.93, nearly 7% below Wednesday’s close of $23.49
“Do Intel’s numbers even matter at this point?” asked Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding Intel’s future.
The Bottom Line:
Tan needs to deliver more than cost savings. A clear, confident strategy to grow revenue, reclaim relevance in chips, and tap into AI demand is the only way to convince a skeptical market that Intel can truly rebound.
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