Asian stocks inched higher on Thursday, cautiously tracking Wall Street’s overnight gains — but markets remain on edge ahead of two critical catalysts: the US June payrolls report and the possible final passage of Trump’s $3.3 trillion tax and spending bill.
What Moved the Market?
Wall Street Rally: S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at record highs after Trump announced a new trade deal with Vietnam, boosting hopes for deals with India and others.
Asia Mixed:
MSCI Asia ex-Japan: +0.2%, just below a 4-year high
China blue chips: +0.2%
Nikkei: flat
Hang Seng: -0.6% after weak China services PMI
Dollar Still Weak: Fed credibility concerns and rate-cut pressure from Trump kept the dollar near 3.5-year lows.
MoneyMaster Take:
Markets are walking a tightrope — Trump’s policy blitz is bullish short-term, but it’s raising big fiscal and inflation questions. Meanwhile, investors are holding their breath for US payrolls data that could force the Fed’s hand on rates.
What to Watch Next
🔶 US Non-Farm Payrolls (Tonight)
Forecast: +110K jobs, jobless rate: 4.3%
A spike to 4.4% could bring a July rate cut back into play.
🔶 Trump’s $3.3T Tax Bill
Heading to the House for approval
Will slash taxes and cut social programs — but adds big debt risk.
🔶 Fed Pressure Builds
Trump again calls for Powell’s resignation
Markets now price just 25% chance of a cut this month, down from 70% if jobs data disappoints.
Smart Moves
Bottom Line
Asian equities are holding ground, but we’re at a make-or-break moment for global risk assets. A weak US jobs report could trigger a rate cut rally, but Trump’s chaotic policies and fiscal worries may cap gains. Volatility is back — be ready for the swing.

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