After the bell, Texas Instruments (TXN) delivered Q2 earnings that beat expectations, but its Q3 guidance fell short — and that was enough to rattle the entire analog chip space.
Market Reaction:
TXN: -11% after-hours
ADI (Analog Devices): -5.4%
MCHP (Microchip Tech): -6.4%
NXPI (NXP Semi): -5.5%
ON (ON Semi): -6.8%
STM (STMicroelectronics ADRs): -6.9%
What Spooked Investors?
While Q2 was solid, TXN’s Q3 EPS guidance midpoint came in at $1.48 vs $1.51 est.
That small miss matters — because investors are desperate for signs of a robust chip rebound, especially after a weak 2024.
Context from the Call:
Recovery is happening, but slowly and unevenly.
Consumer electronics and industrials show promise.
Auto chips? Still weak.
CEO Haviv Ilan: "Cycle will be less pronounced and more shallow."
Investor Takeaway:
This isn’t about Q3 earnings — it's about the shape of the recovery.
For analog chipmakers, this may be a long, flat road — not a rocket ship. Momentum traders are stepping out, but long-term investors might see value if weakness deepens.
Bottom line:
Analog chips are early-cycle plays — but this cycle might be softer than hoped. Keep an eye on guidance trends from Analog Devices (ADI) and ON Semi in coming weeks.
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