IBM just released its Q2 earnings—and on paper, it looks great. Earnings per share came in at $2.80, beating Wall Street’s forecast of $2.65. Revenue also topped expectations at $17 billion, compared to the $16.6 billion analysts predicted.
Despite this solid performance, IBM shares dropped over 5% in after-hours trading, even hitting a 6% dip at one point. Why?
It’s all about expectations. IBM’s stock has already surged 28% year-to-date, far outpacing the Nasdaq’s 9% gain. With such strong performance baked in, investors were likely expecting more than just a beat—they wanted a blowout.
Still, there are positives:
Software revenue rose 10% to $7.4B.
Consulting revenue grew 3% to $5.3B.
IBM reaffirmed its full-year forecast: at least 5% revenue growth (in constant currency).
The company raised its free cash flow outlook to more than $13.5B.
CFO James Kavanaugh highlighted continued momentum in AI adoption as a key driver for growth.
Analysts like what they see long-term. Stifel’s David Grossman reiterated a Buy rating and even raised the price target from $290 to $310, citing strong execution and cash flow.
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