India’s headline inflation eased to near record lows in September and could fall below 1% in October, according to Citi analysts Samiran Chakraborty and Baqar M Zaidi.
Despite ample room for policy easing, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is expected to stay on hold, with policymakers debating whether there’s a need to cut rates, not just room to do so.
Core CPI, however, rose to a two-year high, suggesting sticky price pressures in some segments.
Citi cut its FY inflation forecast to 2.3% from 2.9%, noting the RBI will likely monitor GDP and trade data ahead of its December meeting before considering any policy shift.
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