Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) cautioned that businesses are facing a more challenging environment in the second half of 2025, as rising cost pressures and global uncertainties threaten profit margins and export performance.
In its Financial Stability Review, the central bank said new domestic policy measures have raised operating costs, while ongoing global trade tensions and supply chain disruptions continue to weigh on sentiment.
Higher Costs Squeeze Margins
BNM said the expansion of the sales and service tax (SST), higher electricity and water tariffs, and mandatory EPF contributions for foreign workers have all taken effect this year — putting pressure on corporate margins.
The median cost of goods sold (COGS) as a share of revenue rose to 75.4%, up from 74.9% at the end of 2024, reflecting tighter margins across sectors.
“Larger firms remain better positioned to manage these headwinds, supported by stronger balance sheets compared to pre-pandemic levels,” BNM said.
However, small and medium enterprises (SMEs) with pre-existing vulnerabilities are showing signs of financial strain, with some drawing down cash reserves to cover rising expenses and slower collections.
SME Stress Rising
Despite the pressures, BNM expects moderating raw material prices and cost management efforts to help cushion the impact on businesses over time.
Domestic Demand Still a Key Support
The central bank noted that Malaysia’s resilient domestic demand, strong electrical and electronics (E&E) exports, and recovering tourism sector should continue to underpin business activity.
“Strong domestic demand and continued investment activity will remain key pillars supporting business resilience,” BNM added.
Key Takeaways for Investors
Margins under pressure: Input cost inflation and policy-driven expenses weigh on profitability.
SME risk rising: Smaller firms face liquidity stress; banks may tighten lending to vulnerable sectors.
Macro support intact: E&E exports, tourism, and local consumption continue to buffer growth.
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