Shares of BYD Co Ltd (HKG:1211) fell sharply on Friday after China’s top electric vehicle (EV) maker reported a 33% drop in third-quarter net profit and weaker-than-expected revenue, underscoring the challenges even the industry leader faces in a highly competitive market.
Earnings Miss Triggers Stock Selloff
BYD’s Hong Kong-listed shares tumbled as much as 6.4% in early trading following the results released late Thursday.
Net income: 7.82 billion yuan (US$1.1 billion), down 33% YoY
Revenue: 194.98 billion yuan, down 3% YoY and missing analyst forecasts of 216 billion yuan
Gross margin: 17.6%, down from 21.9% a year ago but up from 16.3% in Q2
“Neutral to slightly negative” reactions are expected, according to Morgan Stanley, which estimated vehicle-unit profit at 6,100 yuan, below its 6,500 yuan projection.
Losing Momentum in China’s Price War
Once the undisputed market leader, BYD is now losing ground in China’s crowded EV space.
Vehicle deliveries in Q3: 1.15 million units, down 1.8% YoY
Competitors Geely and Changan posted sales surges of 96% and 84%, respectively
BYD also lost its title as China’s top-selling automaker to SAIC Motor in September
A prolonged price war has eroded margins across the industry, prompting Beijing to express concerns over product quality and financial sustainability.
Analysts Split on Near-Term Outlook
Despite weak earnings, some analysts see early signs of stabilization.
HSBC expects sequential improvements in Q4 on higher demand, better product mix, and stronger operating leverage.
Citigroup noted that BYD’s inventory levels fell in September, calling it a potential “de-stocking phase” that could pave the way for recovery.
“A de-stocked BYD could be loved by the market again if export growth strengthens in early 2026,” wrote Citi analysts led by Jeff Chung.
Global Expansion Gains Pace
Policy and Structural Headwinds
Meanwhile, Beijing’s “anti-involution” campaign — aimed at curbing destructive price competition — has had limited success, leaving the sector still fragmented and profit-starved.
Comments
Post a Comment