Bitcoin has recorded its first weekly decline since Donald Trump’s election win, reflecting the impact of the US Federal Reserve’s cautious monetary stance.
Key Highlights:
- Weekly Drop: Bitcoin fell over 7%, the largest weekly drop since September, trading around $94,344, nearly $14,000 below its December 17 record high.
- Broader Crypto Market: Other digital assets, including Ether and Dogecoin, saw sharper losses of about 10%.
- Fed's Influence: The Fed’s hawkish outlook tempered speculative enthusiasm, despite optimism over Trump’s pro-crypto stance and his support for a national bitcoin stockpile.
- ETF Outflows: A record outflow from US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds last week signals potential price pressure ahead.
Market Outlook:
- Support Level: Analysts highlight the $90,000 level as critical; a break below could trigger liquidations.
- Hedging Activity: Increased options market activity indicates downside protection, with buyers targeting $75,000-$80,000 strikes for early 2025.
- Volatility Ahead: Low liquidity and a significant options expiry on December 27 could add to year-end price swings.
- First-Quarter Forecast: Analysts remain optimistic, predicting a bullish trajectory into 2025.
Key Observations:
MicroStrategy’s ongoing Bitcoin purchases and whether the cryptocurrency maintains critical support levels will remain under close watch by traders and analysts.
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