Netflix shares fell more than 8% in after-hours trading , as a disappointing second-quarter outlook and leadership changes outweighed otherwise solid first-quarter results. Weak Guidance Sparks Sell-Off Netflix forecast Q2 earnings of US$0.78 per share , below analyst expectations of US$0.84 , while revenue is projected at US$12.57 billion , missing the US$12.64 billion consensus . The weaker guidance raised concerns over near-term growth momentum , triggering a sharp negative market reaction. Strong Q1 Performance Fails to Impress For the first quarter: Revenue rose 16% YoY to US$12.25 billion (above estimates) Earnings surged 86% to US$1.23 per share However, earnings were boosted by a US$2.8 billion one-off termination fee , reducing the quality of underlying growth. Operating margin improved to 32.3% , but still came in below expectations (32.4%) , further dampening sentiment. Rising Costs and Strategic Sh...
Global markets slid on Friday as concerns over a potential US government shutdown mounted and Donald Trump’s trade threats against Europe heightened tensions. Investors also focused on upcoming US inflation data that could influence Federal Reserve policy for 2025.
Key Market Highlights
1. US Government Shutdown Risks
- A spending bill failed in the House of Representatives on Thursday, highlighting political volatility under President-elect Donald Trump.
- Trump’s proposed tariffs and spending policies have increased uncertainty, with credit default swaps (CDS) on six-month US bills rising to a four-week high of 11 basis points.
2. Trump’s Trade Threats
- Trump warned the European Union to increase purchases of US oil and gas or face tariffs:
- “Otherwise, it is TARIFFS all the way!!!” he stated on Truth Social.
- European stocks fell 1%, marking a 3% weekly drop, as US stock futures slipped 0.7%-1.1%.
3. Inflation and Fed Policy Outlook
- The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE), a key US inflation measure, is expected to rise 0.2% in November.
- A higher reading could further reduce expectations for rate cuts next year, with markets now pricing in fewer than two cuts for 2025.
4. Treasury and Currency Market Impact
- 10-year Treasury yields surpassed 4.5% for the first time since May, amid a cautious Fed stance.
- Dollar Performance:
- Down 0.3% at 108.12, but close to a two-year peak of 108.43.
- Euro gained 0.2% to US$1.03925.
- Yen recovered 0.4%, trading at 156.87, after plunging 1.7% the previous day due to the Bank of Japan's dovish stance.
5. Commodity Prices
- Oil: US West Texas Intermediate fell 0.6% to US$68.96.
- Gold: Gained 0.5% to US$2,605 per ounce, benefiting from safe-haven demand.
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