Singapore's consumer price inflation showed a slight uptick in November, with overall CPI rising 1.6% year-over-year, compared to 1.4% in October. However, core CPI, which excludes private road transport and accommodation, slowed to 1.9% from October’s 2.1%, reflecting moderating price pressures in key areas.
Key Inflation Metrics
Overall CPI:
- MoM: No change.
- YoY: Increased by 1.6%.
- Below the 1.85% forecast in a Wall Street Journal survey.
Core CPI:
- YoY Growth: Slowed to 1.9% from 2.1% in October.
Sectoral Breakdown
- Housing & Utilities: +2.6% YoY (24.80% index weight).
- Food: +2.4% YoY (21.10% index weight).
- Transport: +0.5% YoY (17.07% index weight).
- Recreation & Culture: +1.4% YoY.
- Education: +3.0% YoY.
- Miscellaneous Goods & Services: +0.4% YoY.
- Communication: -1.3% YoY (only sector with negative growth).
Implications for Monetary Policy
The continued deceleration in core inflation, now hovering just under the 2% level, supports the case for the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to consider an easing of its exchange rate-based policy. MAS typically views core inflation below 2% as aligned with its long-term goals for economic stability.
Outlook
Singapore's inflation dynamics suggest that price stability is largely on track, with signs of moderation in critical sectors like food and transport. Policymakers may leverage this trend to sustain economic growth while keeping inflationary pressures under control.
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