The Bank of Russia unexpectedly maintained its key interest rate at a record-high 21% , defying analysts’ expectations of another significant hike as inflation remains stubbornly elevated. The decision marks a shift toward a more measured approach in balancing economic growth and price stability. Key Details Inflation Concerns: Annual inflation climbed to 8.9% in November, well above the central bank’s 4% target , with inflation expectations reaching 13.9% in December. Policy Rationale: The central bank cited the significant tightening of monetary conditions after October’s 200-basis point hike as sufficient to resume disinflationary processes. Governor Elvira Nabiullina emphasized avoiding both economic overheating and severe slowdowns. Economic Overheating: Elevated government spending on the war in Ukraine and social programs, coupled with labor shortages and rising wages, have fueled strong domestic demand, exacerbating price pressures...
The US economy grew faster in Q3 than previously estimated, driven by strong consumer spending and a surge in exports, according to revised figures from the Bureau of Economic Analysis released Thursday.
Key Highlights
GDP Growth
- Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased at a 3.1% annualized rate in Q3, up from the prior estimate of 2.8%.
- Consumer spending, a key driver of the economy, was revised to 3.7% from 3.5%.
Exports Surge
- Exports expanded by 9.6%, significantly higher than the previous estimate of 7.5%, with growth entirely attributed to services.
Inflation Metrics
- The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding food and energy, was revised slightly higher to 2.2%.
Economic Resilience
- The revised data reinforces that the economy remains strong, defying forecasters’ predictions of a slowdown.
- This comes on the heels of the Federal Reserve signaling slower rate cuts in 2025, influenced by stronger-than-expected economic data.
Other GDP Components
- Business investment, residential investment, and government spending also saw upward revisions, contributing to the stronger overall performance.
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