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Netflix Slides 8% After Weak Outlook Overshadows Strong Q1 Results

Netflix  shares fell more than  8% in after-hours trading , as a  disappointing second-quarter outlook  and leadership changes outweighed otherwise solid first-quarter results. Weak Guidance Sparks Sell-Off Netflix forecast  Q2 earnings of US$0.78 per share , below analyst expectations of  US$0.84 , while revenue is projected at  US$12.57 billion , missing the  US$12.64 billion consensus . The weaker guidance raised concerns over  near-term growth momentum , triggering a sharp negative market reaction. Strong Q1 Performance Fails to Impress For the first quarter: Revenue rose 16% YoY to US$12.25 billion  (above estimates) Earnings surged 86% to US$1.23 per share However, earnings were boosted by a  US$2.8 billion one-off termination fee , reducing the quality of underlying growth. Operating margin improved to  32.3% , but still came in  below expectations (32.4%) , further dampening sentiment. Rising Costs and Strategic Sh...
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Analysts Say Singapore to Wait on Trump’s Trade Moves Before Easing Policy

Slowing inflation in Singapore has created some room for the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to ease monetary policy in January, but analysts believe the central bank may delay any action until later in 2025 to better assess the impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's policies.

Key Highlights

Inflation Outlook

  • November core inflation is expected to hold steady at 2.1%, a three-year low, according to analysts in a Reuters poll.
  • MAS has forecast core inflation at around 2% for Q4 2024, with DBS Bank predicting it to average 1.8% in 2025.

Monetary Policy Approach

  • Singapore uses the Singapore dollar nominal effective exchange rate (S$NEER) to manage policy, adjusting the slope, midpoint, or width of the currency band.
  • While some analysts expect an easing at the January review, a MAS survey showed the number of economists anticipating a reduction in the S$NEER slope dropped from 50% to one-third.

Analyst Perspectives

  • DBS Bank: MAS is unlikely to ease in January and may wait to see Trump's policies in action.
    • "Chances are MAS will mirror the Fed in basing decisions on actual policies rather than speculation," said DBS economist Chua Han Teng.
  • Moody’s Analytics: MAS may wait for core inflation to fall below 2% for a few months before easing, giving time to assess global trade disruptions from US tariffs.
  • Maybank: MAS could reduce the slope in January, as lower import prices from Trump’s tariffs on China may lead to a deflationary shock and further ease inflation.

Growth Projections

  • Maybank’s Chua Hak Bin: Expects Singapore’s growth to slow to 2.6% in 2025 from 3.6% in 2024 amid trade flow disruptions.
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