KUALA LUMPUR, Dec 5 (Bernama) -- Bursa Malaysia closed lower on Friday amid mixed regional market performance as investors turned cautious over a possible rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and upcoming US economic data that may influence the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate decision next week. At 5 pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) pared most earlier losses to settle 4.55 points easier, or 0.28 per cent, to 1,616.52 from Thursday’s close of 1,621.07. The benchmark index, which opened 0.37 of-a-point lower at 1,620.70, moved between 1,609.67 and 1,621.25 throughout the day. The broader market was negative, with decliners outpacing advancers 604 to 439. A total of 550 counters were unchanged, 1,151 untraded, and 18 suspended. Turnover declined to 3.17 billion units worth RM2.24 billion from 4.48 billion units worth RM2.75 billion yesterday. Rakuten Trade Sdn Bhd vice-presiden...
A hawkish shift by the Federal Reserve has unsettled bullish sentiment in the stock market, with Bank of America strategist Michael Hartnett warning of shaky risk appetite as US equities face their worst week in over three months.
Key Highlights
1. Fed's Impact on Sentiment
- Fed Pivot: A renewed focus on inflation concerns and fewer expected rate cuts in 2025 have dampened investor confidence.
- Stock Allocation Surge:
- Record-high allocations to US equities and low cash holdings triggered a sell signal for stocks earlier this week, according to BofA's fund managers survey.
2. Market Breadth Concerns
- Narrow Leadership:
- The S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index has dropped 7% since a November peak, while the main S&P 500declined less than 3%, indicating reliance on a few top-performing stocks.
- Banking Sector's Role:
- The SPDR S&P Bank ETF must hold near 2022 highs to sustain investor confidence ahead of President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on Jan. 20.
3. Record Inflows and Quarterly Rebalancing
- Global Equity Inflows:
- $69 billion flowed into global equity funds this week, the largest on record.
- US stock funds saw record additions of $82 billion, despite a $6 billion outflow from bond funds.
- Index Rebalancing:
- The upcoming S&P 500 quarterly rebalance on Dec. 23 contributed to "abnormally large daily inflows" into index funds on Wednesday.
Triple Witching
- The Friday expiration of $6.5 trillion worth of options contracts is expected to drive heightened volatility and trading volumes.
Market Outlook
- Hartnett recommends diversifying outside US equities, particularly into China and Europe, before Trump's policies take effect.
- With triple witching and index rebalancing underway, sudden price moves are likely, keeping markets volatile through year-end.
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