Key Takeaway
The S&P 500 closed at a new record high, fueled by soft U.S. labor market data that reinforced expectations for a Fed rate cut this month. Amazon, Broadcom, and Meta led the gains, with consumer discretionary stocks standing out.
Market Recap
S&P 500: +0.83% to 6,502.08 (record close)
Dow Jones: +0.77% to 45,621.29
Nasdaq: +0.98% to 21,707.69
Investors now see a 95% probability of a 25bp cut in September, according to CME FedWatch. Powell’s dovish tone has markets confident, unless Friday’s payrolls report delivers a major surprise.
Sector & Stock Highlights
Amazon (AMZN): +4.3% after JetBlue announced a partnership with its Project Kuiper satellite unit for in-flight WiFi.
Broadcom (AVGO): +1.2% before results; edged higher after hours with stronger Q4 revenue forecast.
Meta Platforms (META): +1.6% on tech buying momentum.
American Eagle (AEO): +38% after upbeat Q3 sales guidance.
Salesforce (CRM): -4.9% on weak Q3 outlook, raising concerns over slower AI monetisation.
Macro Drivers
Labor market cooling: Jobless claims rose more than expected; ADP showed hiring slowdown.
Jobs report ahead: Friday’s non-farm payrolls is key, but Powell has already signaled readiness to cut.
Seasonal caution: September remains historically weak for equities, averaging -1.5% since 2000.
Investor Take
The Fed’s dovish pivot and softer labor data are keeping equities buoyant, but September’s volatility risk remains. Watch Friday’s payrolls for confirmation. AI-linked names and consumer discretionary stocks are leading sentiment, but divergences like Salesforce show not all tech is equal.
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