Key Takeaways
Asian equities opened weaker on Monday, tracking Wall Street’s tech-led decline last Friday.
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix fell after US Commerce Department restrictions on China-linked shipments.
Uncertainty grows after a US federal court ruled Trump’s global tariffs illegal, though duties remain in place.
China in focus: Alibaba surged 13% in New York on strong AI-driven revenues, but manufacturing remains in contraction.
Key US data ahead — jobs, inflation, and the Fed’s policy decision — will shape sentiment as September begins.
Equities
Japan & Korea: Indices opened lower, weighed by chipmakers after Washington revoked shipment licenses for certain goods tied to China’s semiconductor supply chain.
Australia: S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.2%, reflecting global risk-off tone.
MSCI Asia ex-Japan: Slid up to 0.4%, mirroring cautious sentiment.
Alibaba impact: Chinese equities will be in focus after Alibaba’s 13% rally in New York on AI-driven revenue growth, though weak PMI data underscores ongoing macro softness.
Macro & Policy Drivers
US tariffs: The federal appeals court ruling that Trump’s global levies were illegally imposed has raised fresh uncertainty. Tariffs remain in place for now, keeping pressure on Asia’s exporters.
Semiconductors: US restrictions on Samsung and SK Hynix highlight supply-chain risks in the world’s largest chip market.
Domestic politics:
Indonesia: President Prabowo canceled a China trip amid deadly unrest over living costs and inequality.
Thailand: Political uncertainty continues as parties maneuver following PM Paetongtarn Shinawatra’s disqualification.
Wall Street & Outlook
US stocks fell Friday, led by Nvidia and Dell Technologies, with investors questioning margins in AI infrastructure.
Analysts caution that September is historically the S&P 500’s weakest month, but few expect liquidation purely on seasonality.
The coming 14 trading sessions are critical: non-farm payrolls, inflation data, and the Fed’s decision will set near-term market tone.
Market Snapshot (9:30am Tokyo)
Equities: S&P 500 futures +0.2%; Euro Stoxx 50 futures +0.3%; Japan’s Topix flat; Australia’s ASX 200 –0.2%; Hang Seng futures +1.2%.
Currencies: USD steady; EUR at 1.1693; JPY –0.1% at 147.22; CNH flat at 7.1228; AUD steady at 0.6545.
Bonds: Japan 10Y +1.5bps to 1.615%; Australia 10Y +3bps to 4.30%.
Commodities: Brent –1.1% last Friday; WTI –0.1% to $63.92; Gold steady.
Crypto: Bitcoin –1.2% to $107,864; Ether –1.7% to $4,379.
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