Key Takeaway
Asian markets tracked Wall Street higher on Friday as investors grew more confident the Federal Reserve will cut rates on Sept 17. Treasury yields slipped to multi-month lows, while traders braced for the U.S. August non-farm payrolls report later in the day.
Market Highlights
Wall Street: S&P 500 closed +0.8% at a record high; Nasdaq gained 1%. Futures point to more modest gains.
Asia:
Japan’s Nikkei +0.8%, nearing record highs
Taiwan benchmark +0.8%
Hong Kong Hang Seng +0.4%
China blue chips +0.4%
Australia +0.3%
Bonds & Rates
U.S. Treasury yields eased to four-month lows:
10-year: 4.15%
2-year: 3.58%
30-year: 4.84%
Japanese 30-year JGB: 3.235%, retreating from record high.
Fed funds futures: Markets price in 25 bps cut in September and ~60 bps of easing by year-end.
Currencies & Commodities
Dollar Index: Down 0.1% to 98.095; still up 0.3% for the week.
Gold: Steady at US$3,552/oz, off recent record highs.
Oil: Brent -0.3% to US$66.77, WTI -0.3% to US$63.29. Both down ~3.5% this week ahead of Sunday’s Opec+ meeting, where members may consider raising production.
Jobs Data Watch
Economists expect +75,000 jobs in August, just above July’s 73,000.
Unemployment claims have ticked up, and private hiring slowed, reinforcing bets the Fed will move.
Analysts caution: a weak print cements the cut, but an ugly number could trigger risk aversion and volatility.
Investor Angle
Markets are in “sink or swim” mode. A steady but weak jobs number likely fuels the rally on rate-cut hopes, while signs of a deeper slowdown could spook risk appetite.
Comments
Post a Comment