India’s industrial production contracted in August for the first time in nearly two years, signaling a slowdown in the country’s rapid economic growth. The index of industrial production declined by 0.1% year-on-year, following a 4.7% growth in July, according to the Ministry of Statistics. Economists had predicted a 1% increase.
This decline aligns with other indicators pointing to a moderation in India’s growth. Purchasing managers’ surveys for September showed a slowdown in both the services and manufacturing sectors, while output in eight core industries—including steel, coal, and cement—also contracted by 1.8% in August compared to a year earlier.
After India’s economy expanded by over 8% in the fiscal year ending in March 2024, economists are now downgrading their forecasts for the current fiscal year’s GDP growth, with the median estimate at 6.9%. Some banks, like Goldman Sachs, predict growth as low as 6.5%, while the Reserve Bank of India remains more optimistic, maintaining its 7.2% growth forecast.
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