The Bank of Russia unexpectedly maintained its key interest rate at a record-high 21% , defying analysts’ expectations of another significant hike as inflation remains stubbornly elevated. The decision marks a shift toward a more measured approach in balancing economic growth and price stability. Key Details Inflation Concerns: Annual inflation climbed to 8.9% in November, well above the central bank’s 4% target , with inflation expectations reaching 13.9% in December. Policy Rationale: The central bank cited the significant tightening of monetary conditions after October’s 200-basis point hike as sufficient to resume disinflationary processes. Governor Elvira Nabiullina emphasized avoiding both economic overheating and severe slowdowns. Economic Overheating: Elevated government spending on the war in Ukraine and social programs, coupled with labor shortages and rising wages, have fueled strong domestic demand, exacerbating price pressures...
IGB REIT’s impressive 22% surge this year has prompted analysts to downgrade the REIT to a 'hold' rating, despite slightly higher fair value targets for the Mid Valley Megamall and The Gardens Mall operator.
AmInvest and Maybank Investment Bank (Maybank IB) highlighted that IGB REIT’s valuation now appears stretched compared to peers like Sunway REIT and Pavilion REIT. The unit price of IGB REIT, currently trading at nearly two times net asset value (NAV), contrasts with competitors hovering just over one time NAV.
“We see limited upside potential after the stock’s strong rally," Maybank IB said, noting that they had not factored in potential new assets into their forecasts. Both firms anticipate IGB REIT’s next growth catalyst will be the acquisition of Mid Valley Southkey Mall in Johor Bahru, a fully occupied property expected to see rental renewals in 2025.
AmInvest raised its fair value to RM2.28 from RM2.11, citing lower cost of capital assumptions, while Maybank IB bumped its target price to RM2.22 from RM2.15 after adjusting its valuation years.
Despite the strong rental income growth from Mid Valley Megamall and The Gardens Mall—with average gross monthly rental rising 13.5% and 1.4% year-on-year, respectively—analysts feel the REIT’s rally has peaked for now. On Tuesday, IGB REIT units dropped 3.21% to close at RM2.11, valuing the REIT at RM7.62 billion, with a historical dividend yield of 4.96%.
Comments
Post a Comment