Gabriel Makhlouf, a member of the European Central Bank's (ECB) Governing Council, emphasized that significant interest rate cuts should only be considered under exceptional circumstances. Speaking on the sidelines of the International Monetary Fund's annual meetings in Washington, Makhlouf suggested that policymakers should be cautious to ensure inflation stays on track to meet the 2% target.
He noted that while the ECB may not need to maintain high rates to restrict the economy anymore, significant cuts would only be justified by “very powerful” data. According to Makhlouf, drastic moves such as a 50 basis point rate cut should be reserved for situations akin to a "big catastrophe" or other urgent economic data.
His comments come amid ongoing discussions about whether the ECB should consider a larger-than-usual rate cut at its next meeting in December, as the euro area economy struggles to regain momentum. While France and Germany are particularly weak, services inflation, which slowed to 3.9% last month, remains a concern.
Makhlouf acknowledged the economic slowdown but advised against expecting too much from monetary policy, noting that broader economic challenges, especially in some of the bloc's largest economies, need to be addressed beyond central bank measures. He downplayed the potential impact of the US presidential election on the global economy, stating that issues like trade fragmentation have been ongoing and may not change significantly regardless of the outcome.
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