The Bank of Russia unexpectedly maintained its key interest rate at a record-high 21% , defying analysts’ expectations of another significant hike as inflation remains stubbornly elevated. The decision marks a shift toward a more measured approach in balancing economic growth and price stability. Key Details Inflation Concerns: Annual inflation climbed to 8.9% in November, well above the central bank’s 4% target , with inflation expectations reaching 13.9% in December. Policy Rationale: The central bank cited the significant tightening of monetary conditions after October’s 200-basis point hike as sufficient to resume disinflationary processes. Governor Elvira Nabiullina emphasized avoiding both economic overheating and severe slowdowns. Economic Overheating: Elevated government spending on the war in Ukraine and social programs, coupled with labor shortages and rising wages, have fueled strong domestic demand, exacerbating price pressures...
Egypt is conducting a comprehensive survey to evaluate the impact of its sweeping economic reforms on its population, working closely with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to ensure the most vulnerable are protected, according to the IMF’s regional head.
The $8 billion IMF loan program, implemented to stabilize Egypt's economy amid a foreign-exchange crisis, has triggered significant changes, including currency devaluations and sharp price increases in fuel, bread, and electricity. These measures have placed additional pressure on the Egyptian population of over 106 million, many of whom are struggling with the economic fallout.
During IMF Chief Kristalina Georgieva's upcoming visit to Cairo in early November, discussions will focus on Egypt’s social protection programs, aimed at mitigating the effects of these reforms. The new survey will likely reveal the impact of two years of economic strain caused by devaluations and price hikes on household spending, providing crucial data to improve these support programs.
Egypt's government has signaled its intent to review aspects of the loan agreement, considering the difficult regional and economic conditions, particularly related to conflicts involving Israel, Hamas, and Hezbollah. While the IMF is open to adjustments, it remains committed to ensuring currency reform is maintained, with Egypt allowing the Egyptian pound to fluctuate based on supply and demand.
The upcoming review in November will evaluate the progress of the IMF-Egypt agreement, focusing on how the nation can better safeguard its citizens while navigating economic challenges
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