The US dollar strengthened this week, with an index tracking its performance poised for the biggest weekly gain in nearly six months. This surge is driven by reduced expectations for aggressive US interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, Treasuries remained flat in Asian trading, following Thursday’s selloff that pushed yields to levels not seen since September.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and Brent crude steadied after rising more than 5% on Thursday, hitting a one-month high. These gains came after comments from President Joe Biden, who mentioned that the US is considering support for potential Israeli strikes on Iranian oil facilities. Investors are worried that such strikes could lead to supply disruptions, especially with the ongoing conflict between Israel and Hezbollah.
In the currency markets, the yen strengthened while the British pound remained stable after sharp declines. The South Korean won weakened as local markets reopened following a holiday.
In China, a stimulus package has fueled a wave of buying, with gains at their fastest pace since 2008. However, the initial excitement is cooling as traders await more details on fiscal stimulus and holiday spending data.
The upcoming US payrolls report on Friday is a key focus for investors. The unemployment rate is expected to hold steady at 4.2%, with 150,000 payrolls anticipated. If the unemployment rate ticks up, markets may shift back to expecting larger rate cuts, as highlighted by Kallum Pickering, chief economist at Peel Hunt.
Other data suggests robustness in the US economy, with the Institute for Supply Management’s services index hitting its best reading since February 2023. Meanwhile, unemployment benefit applications rose slightly but remain consistent with low layoffs.
In Asian markets, upcoming data includes S&P Global PMI for Hong Kong, inflation figures in the Philippines, and retail sales in Singapore.
Key market movements:
- S&P 500 futures rose 0.1%
- Japan’s Topix rose 0.6%
- Hong Kong’s Hang Seng jumped 2.3%
- 10-year Treasury yields were little changed at 3.84%
- Bitcoin and Ether both saw modest gains
Commodities remained stable, with WTI crude and spot gold showing little change.

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