A sharp rebound in Chinese stocks is prompting a shift in global portfolios, with some investors rushing to take advantage of the rally. After Beijing's recent stimulus measures, money that had flowed into stocks from Japan and Southeast Asia is now being redirected back into Chinese equities, according to market analysts.
Shares in South Korea, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand saw net outflows last week, while BNP Paribas SA reported that more than $20 billion was withdrawn from Japanese equities in the first three weeks of September. The MSCI China Index has climbed more than 30% from a recent low, fueled by Beijing's policy-driven recovery efforts.
Eric Yee, senior portfolio manager at Atlantis Investment Management in Singapore, said, “We are trimming our long positions across Asia to fund China purchases. Everyone is doing so. It’s a good policy-driven recovery from rock bottom.”
Despite the recent rally, Chinese stocks remain attractively priced. The MSCI China gauge is trading at 10.8 times forward earnings, below its five-year average of 11.7 times. Mutual funds globally still have a 5% allocation in Chinese equities, the lowest in a decade, which signals potential for further reallocation into China.
While this shift is still in its early stages, analysts like Mohit Mirpuri of SGMC Capital believe China could be the standout performer by the end of 2024, with momentum that is "hard to ignore."
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