The US federal budget deficit surged to $1.9 trillion for the first 11 months of the fiscal year through August, marking a 24% increase from the same period last year, according to data released by the Treasury Department on Thursday. The deficit for August alone was $380 billion, a stark contrast to the surplus recorded in August 2023, after adjusting for calendar differences. This variance is largely attributed to an accounting adjustment following the rollback of the student-debt forgiveness plan.
The interest burden on outstanding US debt remains a significant drag on the budget. Interest costs for the first 11 months of the fiscal year totaled $1.05 trillion, up 30% from the previous year. This marks the first time interest costs have exceeded $1 trillion annually. However, as a share of gross domestic product (GDP), the ratio was higher in the early 1990s.
The Federal Reserve's aggressive interest-rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation have increased the cost of issuing debt for the federal government. The weighted average interest rate on outstanding US interest-bearing government debt was 3.35% at the end of August, up 43 basis points from the same month last year and the highest since 2009.
Factors Contributing to the Widening Deficit
Student Debt Forgiveness Rollback: The Supreme Court's decision to overturn the Biden administration's student-debt forgiveness plan resulted in an accounting adjustment that added $319 billion to the year-to-date budget deficit, according to Treasury officials.
Deferred Tax Payments: An influx of deferred tax payments from 2023, due to natural disasters in areas like California, inflated 2024 tax revenues. These deferred taxes amount to about $135 billion this year.
After adjusting for both the student debt and deferred tax accounting, the deficit is approximately 7% wider for the first 11 months of the fiscal year compared to the previous year.

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