Bitcoin is on track to achieve one of its biggest September gains in years, with a rise of over 10% this month. This defies the usual trend, as the cryptocurrency typically experiences an average 5.9% decline in September, according to data from Bloomberg. An index tracking smaller cryptocurrencies has surged by more than 20%, signaling a boost in the riskier segments of the market.
The rally comes as central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, the European Central Bank, and the People’s Bank of China, cut interest rates in September to stimulate economic growth. The accommodative monetary policies have prompted investors to buy up assets across the board, including stocks and gold, with Bitcoin benefiting from the increased liquidity.
"Bitcoin’s correlation with monetary policy continues to be strongest with respect to the Fed," said Sean McNulty, director of trading at Arbelos Markets.
On Friday, Bitcoin climbed as much as 1.2%, reaching US$65,334 as of 1:12 p.m. in Singapore. It has gained 56% so far in 2024, supported by inflows into US Bitcoin exchange-traded funds, but it remains below its record high of US$73,798 set in March.
While the US$65,000 level could act as a resistance due to the expiry of options contracts, a failure to break above this price "decisively" might indicate a weaker period ahead, according to Kraken. Beyond monetary policy, the crypto market is also eyeing the US presidential election for potential regulatory clarity that could further boost sentiment.
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