The US labour market showed signs of a steady slowdown in October, with job openings increasing moderately and layoffs declining, according to the latest Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) report released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Tuesday. Job openings, a key indicator of labour demand, rose by 372,000 to 7.744 million at the end of October. However, the September figures were revised downward to 7.372 million from the initially reported 7.443 million. Economists polled by Reuters had anticipated 7.475 million vacancies. Labour Market Dynamics While job openings increased, hires dropped by 269,000 to 5.313 million, and layoffs fell by 169,000 to 1.633 million. These figures suggest a gradual cooling of the labour market rather than a sharp contraction. Hurricanes and strikes also impacted October’s labour market data. Rebuilding efforts in storm-affected regions and the resolution of strikes at Boeing and another aerospace company are expected to contribute to a ...
China has ramped up stimulus efforts to prevent its economy from slipping into a deflationary spiral, with measures including interest rate cuts, eased home-buying rules, and cash handouts. The People’s Bank of China slashed rates on one-year loans and the government rolled out subsidies to support jobless graduates. These moves are aimed at reviving growth in the world's second-largest economy, but analysts warn this might only be a temporary fix.
Globally, here's a roundup of key economic trends and developments:
Asia
- China: Despite the stimulus, China is expected to miss its 2024 growth target as the property slump continues to weigh heavily on economic momentum. The People's Bank of China cut its medium-term lending rate to 2%, marking the largest reduction on record.
- India: Gold imports surged ahead of the festive season, boosted by tax cuts, signaling strong demand in the world’s second-largest gold consumer.
US
- US Core Inflation: The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure—core personal consumption expenditures—rose 2.1% over the past three months, aligning with the Fed’s 2% target. Meanwhile, commercial property prices are slowly climbing again, signaling a potential recovery in the sector.
- US GDP: Recent data revisions show a stronger rebound in the US economy post-pandemic, with gross domestic income also revised higher.
Europe
- Swiss Central Bank: Switzerland cut interest rates for the third consecutive meeting, with inflation forecasts lowered. Meanwhile, inflation in France and Spain has dropped below 2%, increasing expectations of rate cuts by the European Central Bank.
Emerging Markets
- Mexico: For the second month, Mexico's central bank cut interest rates, reflecting cooling inflation and slowing growth.
- Zambia: Zambia’s economy is poised for its fastest growth in 13 years, following a severe drought that hit the nation’s agricultural output.
Geopolitical Tensions
- Israel and Hezbollah: Israel has escalated airstrikes against Hezbollah targets in Lebanon, raising concerns of a broader regional conflict that could impact global markets.
Central Bank Moves
- Central banks across the globe are adjusting rates to cope with inflation, with Australia, Sweden, Hungary, and Nigeria all making significant changes in their monetary policies.
As the global economy faces both opportunities and challenges, the coming months will test the effectiveness of these stimulus measures and monetary policy adjustments in stabilizing markets and fostering growth.
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