Analysts have reduced earnings forecasts for VS Industry Bhd (KL), anticipating that the strengthening ringgit against the US dollar will negatively affect its revenue for the financial year ending July 31, 2025 (FY2025). The company's significant reliance on US dollar-denominated sales, which account for around two-thirds of its total revenue, is expected to suffer due to adverse foreign exchange (forex) pressures.
In a Thursday note, Maybank slashed its earnings projections for VS Industry by 12% for FY2025, 19% for FY2026, and 21% for FY2027, citing more conservative assumptions due to forex challenges. The stronger ringgit is expected to reduce revenue, with Maybank estimating that a 10% rise in the ringgit could cut revenue by approximately 7% to 10%, leading to margin compression.Additionally, Maybank noted that slower growth for key customers, alongside export challenges, would further weigh on the company’s performance. Although some forex costs may be passed on to customers, adjustments may take three to six months, particularly for costs related to labor, management fees, and engineering.
Despite the cuts, Maybank remains cautiously optimistic about VS Industry's outlook due to its export earnings and forex exposure. The company's efforts to streamline operations and expand, including new projects in the Philippines and a potential new customer set for late 2024, are expected to support margins and contribute to growth by FY2026. Maybank maintained its 'buy' call, adjusting the target price (TP) to RM1.28 from RM1.49.
Similarly, Hong Leong Investment Bank (HLIB) also highlighted the short-term negative impact of the stronger ringgit but noted some offsetting factors. HLIB explained that where revenue is quoted in ringgit but costs are in US dollars, VS Industry could benefit from the weakening US dollar. However, for certain US-based customers, adjustments can only be made during the quotation of new models, which could further impact the top line by 8% to 10%.
HLIB maintained its 'buy' call on VS Industry, with an unchanged TP of RM1.42, citing the company’s leading position in electronics manufacturing services, a diverse customer base, and strategic capacity expansions, which are expected to sustain long-term revenue growth and profitability.
As of Thursday, shares of VS Industry were down two sen or 1.9% at RM1.03, with a market capitalization of RM4.05 billion.

Comments
Post a Comment