South Korea’s export engine is accelerating again — powered by the global AI boom — even as uncertainty lingers over US tariff policy.
Early February Trade Snapshot
According to preliminary customs data (first 20 days of February):
Exports (working-day adjusted): +47.3% YoY
January full-month: +34% (revised)
Unadjusted exports: +23.5%
Imports: +11.7%
Trade surplus: US$4.95 billion
Notably, the surge came despite fewer working days due to the Lunar New Year holiday — suggesting underlying momentum remains strong.
Semiconductors: The AI Effect
The standout driver:
Semiconductor exports: +134% YoY
Computer peripherals: +129%
Petrochemicals: +11%
The strength reflects sustained global demand for AI servers, data centres, and high-performance chips.
The AI investment cycle is now cushioning broader trade volatility.
Autos Drag as Tariffs Bite
Weak spots:
Auto exports: -27%
Auto parts: -21%
Sector-specific US duties on autos and steel remain in place under separate trade frameworks, weighing on shipments.
Where the Growth Came From
By destination:
🇨🇳 China: +31%
🇺🇸 United States: +22%
🇪🇺 EU: +11.4%
🇹🇼 Taiwan: +76.4%
Despite legal shifts in Washington after the Supreme Court of the United States struck down emergency tariffs, President Donald Trump has reimposed global tariffs under alternative authority — keeping the effective ceiling largely unchanged for Korean goods.
Seoul says it will maintain the existing US-Korea tariff agreement while safeguarding national interests.
Currency & Inflation Watch
The won has strengthened this year but remains:
>6% weaker than last summer
That adds:
Export competitiveness tailwind
Inflation uncertainty
January CPI rose 2%, matching the Bank of Korea target.
The BOK held rates at 2.5% and is widely expected to stay on hold at this week’s meeting.
Market Takeaway
South Korea’s export story is now clearly bifurcated:
As long as the global AI investment cycle remains intact, Korea’s trade surplus and growth momentum should stay resilient — even in a noisy trade-policy environment.

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