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Market Daily Report: Bursa Malaysia Ends Lower On Cautious Sentiment

KUALA LUMPUR, May 21 (Bernama) -- Bursa Malaysia ended at its intraday low on Thursday as investor sentiment remained cautious amid ongoing foreign outflows, although the recent weakness may present bargain-hunting opportunities in fundamentally sound blue-chip counters. At 5 pm, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) eased 9.33 points, or 0.54 per cent, to 1,708.36, from yesterday’s close of 1,717.69. The benchmark index, which opened 3.74 points higher at 1,721.43, hit an intraday high of 1,722.50 in early trade before losing momentum for the rest of the day. Market breadth was negative, with losers outpacing gainers 656 to 508, while 565 counters were unchanged, 989 untraded and 32 suspended. Turnover fell to 3.49 billion units worth RM3.70 billion compared with 4.15 billion units worth RM4.29 billion on Wednesday.

IOI Corp’s Earnings Stay Strong, But CPO Price Risks Could Limit Upside

Quick Summary

  • 1HFY2026 core net profit up 21% YoY to RM795m

  • Plantation segment remains the key earnings driver (79% of PBT)

  • 2HFY2026 profit may soften due to lower FFB output and weaker CPO prices

  • CIMB maintains ‘Buy’ with TP RM4.51, citing M&A potential

Earnings Momentum Still Intact

Shares of IOI Corporation Bhd remain supported by resilient earnings, although analysts caution that softer crude palm oil (CPO) prices may cap further upside.

For 2QFY2026:

  • Core net profit: RM405m

    • +4% QoQ

    • +3% YoY

  • 1HFY2026 core net profit: RM795m

    • +21% YoY

    • 53% of CIMB’s full-year forecast

Reported net profit for 1HFY2026 came in higher at RM898m, boosted by:

  • RM110.7m FX gains

  • Fair value gains on biological assets

Plantation Segment Drives Performance

The plantation division contributed 79% of pre-tax profit, with:

  • FFB output: +12.3% QoQ to ~874,000 tonnes

  • Unit cost: RM2,361 per tonne

  • Average CPO price: RM4,224 per tonne

  • Palm kernel price: RM3,449 per tonne

Despite softer year-on-year CPO prices, stronger volumes and better cost control helped cushion the impact.

Downstream & Associates Improve

Resource-based manufacturing swung back into profitability:

  • 2QFY2026 EBIT: RM20m (vs RM5m last year)

  • 1HFY2026 EBIT: RM104m (vs RM12m loss last year)

Improvement was supported by stronger cocoa butter margins at Bunge Loders Croklaan.

Associates contributed RM45m, adding to earnings stability.

Why 2H May Be Softer

CIMB Securities flagged several headwinds for 2HFY2026:

  • Seasonally lower FFB output

  • Weaker CPO prices

  • Stronger ringgit

  • High Malaysian stock levels

  • Delays in Indonesia’s B50 biodiesel rollout

While festive demand and palm oil’s discount to soybean oil offer some support, price upside looks capped.

Valuation & Analyst Calls

  • Current price: RM4.06

  • Market cap: RM25.5 billion

  • 8 ‘Buy’, 9 ‘Hold’, 2 ‘Sell’ calls

CIMB:

  • Maintains ‘Buy’

  • Target price: RM4.51

  • Highlights low net gearing (8%) and potential earnings-accretive M&A

Kenanga:

  • Target price: RM4.35

  • Maintains ‘Market Perform’

Bottom Line

IOI Corp’s earnings momentum remains solid, underpinned by strong plantation output and improved downstream margins.

However, with CPO prices softening and macro headwinds building, near-term upside may be capped, shifting investor focus toward balance sheet strength and potential M&A catalysts.

Key Takeaways

  • Strong 1H earnings, plantation-led growth

  • Downstream margins improving

  • CPO price softness limits 2H upside

  • Balance sheet strength supports longer-term optionality

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