Quick Summary
FY2025 core net profit up 11% to RM633m
Same-store sales growth (SSSG) still weak at -2% for full year
Analysts downgrade on store saturation and cannibalisation risks
YTD share price up 22%, limiting upside
Strong Earnings, But Growth Questions Emerge
Shares of Mr DIY Group (M) Bhd are facing more cautious analyst views, even after delivering solid FY2025 earnings.
FY2025 highlights:
Core net profit: RM633 million (+11% YoY)
Gross margin expansion driven by:
Lower procurement costs
Stronger ringgit
However:
Full-year SSSG remained negative at -2%
4QFY2025 SSSG turned positive at +1.4%, helped by festive demand and promotions
Key issue: Organic growth remains soft despite margin strength.
Why Analysts Are Turning Cautious
1️⃣ Store Saturation Risk
The group plans to open 155 new stores in FY2026, raising concerns of:
Sales cannibalisation
Slower sales per square foot
Market nearing maturity
2️⃣ Valuation No Longer Cheap
Share price: RM1.87
Market cap: RM17.6 billion
+22% YTD rally
Maybank Investment Bank:
Downgraded to ‘Hold’
Target price raised to RM1.97
Cut FY2026–FY2027 earnings by 3%–12%
Kenanga Research:
Downgraded to ‘Market Perform’
Target price: RM1.95
Says fundamentals already priced in
Upside now seen as limited (~12%)
Guidance for FY2026
Management targets:
Gross margin: 46%–48%
Return on equity: mid-30% range
Continued aggressive store rollout
While operational efficiency remains strong, analysts warn that future growth may be volume-driven rather than productivity-driven.
Bottom Line
The next phase of growth will depend less on expansion — and more on improving store productivity and sustaining consumer demand.
Key Takeaways
Earnings solid, margins improving
Same-store sales still fragile
155 new stores planned
Valuation stretched after strong rally

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