Foreign investors are exiting Indonesian stocks for the 15th straight session, marking an equity outflow of US$891 million (RM3.96 billion) so far in November, according to Bloomberg data. This has pushed the nation’s benchmark equity index to the brink of a correction, dropping 9% from its record high on Sept 19.
The retreat is fueled by a stronger US dollar and higher treasury yields, triggered by expectations that President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will heighten US inflation and limit Federal Reserve rate cuts. The rupiah has weakened 1% this month, while foreign investors have also sold US$810 million worth of Indonesian government bonds, poised for their first monthly outflow since April.
“What was initially a major tailwind for ASEAN, such as a weaker dollar and lower rates before the US election, has turned into a headwind,” said Niklas Olausson, head of research at Valverde Investment Partners Pte.
Indonesia’s macro environment lacks fresh catalysts, Olausson noted, and the new government requires time to implement policies to attract investors back. Until then, foreign investors are likely to continue adjusting their portfolios, deepening the challenge for emerging markets.
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