The ringgit opened stronger at 4.4325/4.4450 against the US dollar on Thursday, up from Wednesday's close of 4.4440/4.4465, as the USD Index softened by 0.91%, closing at 106.036 points. The ringgit has gained 0.95% since Nov 14, rebounding from 4.4855 to 4.4432, as the "Trump Trade" effect eased, according to Bank Muamalat’s chief economist Afzanizam Rashid.
Factors Supporting the Ringgit:
- The Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 0.25% next month, though concerns linger over monetary easing in 2025 amid persistent inflation risks and a resilient US economy.
- October’s core PCE inflation rose to 2.8% from 2.7%, reflecting sticky price levels.
- The US job market remains robust, with a decline in the four-week average of jobless claims.
Performance Against Major Currencies:
Strengthened:
- Japanese yen: 2.9288/2.9375 (from 2.9311/2.9356)
- Singapore dollar: 3.3054/3.3152 (from 3.3055/3.3106)
- Philippine peso: 7.55/7.57 (from 7.56/7.57)
Weakened:
- British pound: 5.6186/5.6345 (from 5.5962/5.6044)
- Euro: 4.6812/4.6944 (from 4.6691/4.6759)
- Thai baht: 12.8348/12.8803 (from 12.8342/12.8597)
- Indonesian rupiah: Nearly flat at 278.1/279.0 (from 278.6/279.1).
Outlook:
Afzanizam predicts the ringgit could gain further but remains cautious as the outlook hinges on evolving US economic data, inflation trends, and the Fed's monetary policy trajectory.
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