Malaysia’s economy expanded 4.4% YoY in 2Q 2025, matching 1Q’s pace, as robust domestic demand offset a slowdown in exports, according to the Department of Statistics. The figure was just shy of the 4.5% advance estimate.
On a seasonally-adjusted basis, GDP growth accelerated to 2.1% QoQ from 0.7% in 1Q.
Tariff Impact: The US recently imposed a 19% import tariff on Malaysian goods as part of wider trade actions, alongside a blanket 10% tariff since April. A threatened 100% tariff on imported semiconductors — which account for ~one-third of Malaysia’s US exports — remains a key risk.
The additional 9% tariff is within BNM’s estimates, but semiconductor-specific measures are a “wild card.”
Demand-Side Performance
Private Consumption: +5.3%
Private Investment: +11.8%
Public Consumption: +6.4%
Public Investment: +13.6%
Net Exports: -73% as imports rose faster than exports
Supply-Side Breakdown
Services: +5.1%
Manufacturing: +3.7% (slower growth)
Construction: +12.1% (moderating)
Agriculture: +2.1% (slightly faster)
Mining & Quarrying: -5.2% (steeper contraction)
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