Key Takeaways
Pop Mart’s new mini Labubu dolls sold out within minutes in China, the US, Japan, and South Korea, underscoring sustained global demand.
Shares dipped 0.6% on Friday after earlier gains, reflecting expectations already priced in. Stock has surged 260% YTD, valuing the company at HK$433 billion (US$55.6 billion).
Mini Labubus priced at 79 yuan (US$11) in China, with premium editions at 499 yuan. Overseas pricing nearly doubles local levels (US$22.99 in the US).
Resale activity is robust, with secondary market prices at 1.5x–2.5x retail, mirroring speculative behaviour reminiscent of the 1990s Beanie Baby craze.
While demand is expanding internationally, early concerns about product craftsmanship (crooked heads, uneven limbs) may present reputational risks.
The resale market is amplifying scarcity value. Sets that retail at 1,106 yuan are reselling for up to 2,600 yuan, while special editions are fetching multiples of retail pricing. This speculative element, while boosting hype, carries inherent risks of volatility in consumer sentiment once the novelty subsides.
Risks and Outlook
Sustainability of demand: Comparisons to Beanie Babies highlight potential risks of a demand bubble.
Quality concerns: Reported product defects may dampen consumer trust if not addressed swiftly.
Counterfeits: Seizures of fake Labubu products suggest growing grey-market risks.
Despite these risks, Pop Mart continues to expand its international footprint and maintains strong pricing power, with overseas prices nearly double domestic levels. Celebrity endorsements and social media buzz further enhance its brand equity.
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