Headline Results (Q2FY26)
Revenue: $46.7B (+56% YoY, +QoQ) — beat consensus.
GAAP Net Income: $26.4B (+59% YoY).
Gross Margin (Non-GAAP): 72.7% (–300bps YoY, +140bps QoQ), above guidance.
Key Driver: Data Center ($41.1B, 88% of total).
Yet, stock slipped ~3% after hours — a case of “stellar results, tougher bar.”
Revenue Breakdown
Data Center: $41.1B (+56% YoY, +5% QoQ).
AI Compute: $33.8B (+50% YoY, –1% QoQ) → weakness due to H20 halt & Hopper→Blackwell transition.
Networking: $7.3B (+98% YoY, +46% QoQ) → standout growth, driven by NVL72 rack deployments & Spectrum-X Ethernet.
Gaming: $4.3B (+49% YoY, +14% QoQ).
Pro Visualization: $0.6B (+32% YoY).
Automotive/Robotics: $0.6B (+70% YoY).
3 Key Themes for Investors
1. Networking = Second Growth Curve
Networking revenue outpaced all major standalone vendors.
InfiniBand nearly doubled QoQ; Spectrum-X annualized >$10B.
AI systems shifting to rack-level integration, making networking as critical as GPUs.
2. China Headwinds Persist
China share down to 6% of revenue (from double digits).
Singapore invoicing surged to 22% (serving U.S. demand).
No H20 sales baked into Q3 guidance. If approved, could add $2–$5B upside.
3. Product Roadmap Intact (Blackwell → Rubin)
GB300 (Blackwell Ultra) ramping, ~1,000 racks/week, boosting Q3.
Rubin platform in fab (GPU, CPU, NICs, switches, photonics). Mass production set for 2026.
Guidance (Q3FY26)
Revenue: $54B (above $53.5B consensus).
Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 73.5% (vs Q2: 72.7%).
Non-GAAP Net Income: ~$30.1B.
Upside Risk: China H20 reinstatement → potential $2–5B revenue lift.
Market Read-Through
Why shares slipped despite the beat:
AI compute revenues dipped QoQ (optics of slowing demand).
Blackwell transition creates temporary lumpiness.
Expectations are sky-high — the “valuation bar” keeps moving.
Medium-term positives:
Networking growth adds diversification beyond GPUs.
Blackwell ramp + Rubin launch keeps Nvidia two generations ahead of rivals ($AMD, $AVGO, $TSM).
Margins holding above 70%+ show pricing power in AI infrastructure.
Takeaway for investors: Nvidia remains the indispensable AI infrastructure play, but near-term stock moves hinge on China licensing clarity and execution of the Blackwell ramp. Long-term visibility into Rubin (2026) provides a strong structural growth story.
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