Haidilao International Holding Ltd (6862.HK) shares fell as much as 6.5% in Hong Kong, the sharpest intraday drop since April, after China’s largest hotpot chain reported a second straight half-year revenue decline.
Earnings Snapshot
Revenue: ¥20.7B (▼3.7% YoY), in line with consensus.
Net Income: ¥1.76B (▼14% YoY).
Store Count: Self-operated restaurants fell to 1,322 from 1,343 a year earlier as the group continued to shut underperforming outlets.
Table Turnover: Dropped 9.5% YoY, underscoring demand pressure.
Key Headwinds
Weak Macro & Frugal Consumers: Slowing economic growth in China is weighing on discretionary spending, particularly at premium chains like Haidilao.
Price War in Food Delivery: Intense promotions — ¥1 drinks, free delivery, flash discounts — are pulling traffic away from dine-in restaurants.
Competition in Catering: Increased rivalry across China’s F&B sector continues to erode Haidilao’s traffic base.
Street Commentary
Morgan Stanley (July note): Weak macro environment and delivery-driven price competition are suppressing traffic and table turns.
Outlook: Revenue growth may stabilize in 2H25 from a lower base, aided by new catering brands and formats.
Investor Takeaway
The sell-off reflects mounting concern that Haidilao’s premium dine-in model is vulnerable in a frugal consumer environment. With operating leverage tied to traffic, further weakness in macro data or escalation of delivery discounts could extend earnings pressure. Investors will watch closely for:
2H recovery signs from new formats.
Management’s ability to defend margins amid price competition.
Broader macro stabilization to lift discretionary spending.
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